Jamie Neely’s Research Website

Earthquakes and Statistics

Publications

Peer-Reviewed Publications

Neely, J.S., Salditch, L., Spencer, B.D., Stein S. (2022), A more realistic model for the probability of large earthquakes. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. doi:10.1785/0120220083

Gallahue, M.M., Salditch, L., Lucas, M.C., Neely, J.S., Stein S., Abrahamson, N., Williams, T., Hough, S.E. (2022), On the effect of site response for California seismic hazard map assessment. Frontiers in Earth Science. doi:10.3389/feart.2022.931340

Neely, J.S., Stein S. (2021), Why do continental normal fault earthquakes have smaller maximum magnitudes? Tectonophysics 809. doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2021.228854

Hough, S.E., Page, M., Salditch, L., Gallahue, M.M., Lucas, M.C., Neely, J.S., Stein, S. (2021), Revisiting California’s past great earthquakes and long-term earthquake rate, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 111(1), 356-370. doi:10.1785/0120200253

Salditch, L., Gallahue, M.M., Lucas, M.C., Neely, J.S., Hough, S.E., Stein, S. (2020), California Historical Intensity Mapping Project (CHIMP): A consistently reinterpreted dataset of seismic intensities for the past 162 years and implications for seismic hazard map, Seismological Research Letters 91(5): 2631–2650, doi:10.1785/0220200065

Neely, J.S., Stein S., Spencer, B.D. (2020), Large uncertainties in earthquake stress-drop estimates and their tectonic consequences, Seismological Research Letters 91(4), 2320–2329. doi:10.1785/0220200004

Salditch, L., Stein S., Neely, J.S., Spencer, B.D., Brooks, E.M., Agnon, A., Liu, M. (2020), Earthquake supercycles and Long-Term Fault Memory, Tectonophysics 774, doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2019.228289

Neely, J.S., Huang, Y., Fan, W. (2019), Earthquake rupture characteristics along a developing transform boundary, Geophysical Journal International 219(2), 1237-1252. doi:10.1093/gji/ggz357

Brooks, E.M., Neely, J.S., Stein, S., Spencer, B.D., Salditch, L. (2019), Assessments of the performance of the 2017 one-year seismic hazard forecast for the central and eastern United States via simulated earthquake shaking data, Seismological Research Letters 90(3), 1155-1167. doi:10.1785/0220190007

Neely, J.S., Stein, S., Merino, M., Adams, J. (2018), Have we seen the largest earthquakes in eastern North America? Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors 284, 17-27. doi:10.1016/j.pepi.2018.09.005

Salditch, L., Hough, S.E., Stein, S., Spencer, B.D., Brooks, E.M., Neely, J.S., Lucas, M.C. (2018), The 1952 Kern County, California earthquake: A case study of issues in the analysis of historical intensity data for estimation of source parameters. Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors 283, 140-151. doi:10.1016/j.pepi.2018.08.007

Neely, J.S., Furlong, K.P. (2018), Evidence of displacement-driven maturation along the San Cristobal Trough transform plate boundary. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 485, 88–98. doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2017.12.044

Presented Conference Abstracts

Neely, J.S., Salditch, L., Stein, S., Spencer, B.D. (2022) A new earthquake recurrence model that better reflects the strain accumulation and release processes that produce earthquakes. Abstract presented at 2022 AGU Fall Meeting, Chicago, 12-16 Dec.

Neely, J.S., Park, S., Baltay, A. (2022) Assessing the accuracy of earthquake stress drop estimation methods for complex ruptures using synthetic earthquakes. Abstract presented at 2022 AGU Fall Meeting, Chicago, 12-16 Dec.

Neely, J.S., Salditch, L., Stein, S., Spencer, B.D. (2021) A more realistic model for the probability of large earthquakes. Abstract presented at 2021 SCEC Meeting, virtual, 12-17 Sep.

Neely, J.S., Salditch, L., Stein, S., Spencer, B.D. (2021) Modeling earthquake occurrence and recurrence for supercycles and clusters. Abstract presented at 2021 SSA Meeting, virtual, 19-23 Apr.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S. (2020) Continental normal fault earthquakes and their maximum magnitudes. Abstract T035-07 presented at 2020 AGU Fall Meeting, virtual, 1-17 Dec.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S. (2020) Why do continental normal fault earthquakes have smaller maximum magnitudes? Abstract presented at 2020 Seismological Society of America Eastern Section meeting, virtual, 14-15 Oct.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S. (2020) Continental normal fault earthquakes and their maximum magnitudes. Abstract presented at 2020 GSA Annual Meeting, virtual, 26-30 Oct.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S., Brooks, E.M., Spencer, B.D., Salditch, L., Adams, J. (2019) What does the past tell us about the future? Using simulations to explore earthquake hazard model parameters. Abstract NH31D-0869 presented at 2019 AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, 9-13 Dec.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S., Spencer, B.D. (2019) Large uncertainties in stress drop estimates and their tectonic consequences. Abstract S53F-0535 presented at 2019 AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, 9-13 Dec.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S. (2019), Uncertainties in stress drop estimates and their tectonic consequences. Abstract presented at 2019 SSA Meeting, Seattle, WA, 23-26 Apr.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S. (2019), What controls the maximum magnitude of continental normal faulting earthquakes? Abstract presented at 2019 SSA Meeting, Seattle, WA, 23-26 Apr.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S., Merino, M., Adams, J. (2018), Have we seen the largest earthquakes in eastern North America? Abstract G23C-0621 presented at 2018 AGU Fall Meeting, Washington, DC, 10-14 Dec.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S. (2018), What controls normal faulting earthquakes’ maximum magnitude? Abstract T51H-0276 presented at 2018 AGU Fall Meeting, Washington, DC, 10-14 Dec.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S. (2018), What controls normal faulting earthquakes’ maximum magnitude? Abstract 174-7 presented at 2018 GSA Annual Meeting, Indianapolis, IN, 4-7 Nov.

Neely, J.S., Stein, S., Merino, M., Adams, J. (2018), Have we seen the largest earthquakes in eastern North America? Abstract 158-5 presented at 2018 GSA Annual Meeting, Indianapolis, IN, 4-7 Nov.

Neely, J.S., Huang, Y., Furlong, K.P. (2017), The implications of strike-slip earthquake source properties on the transform boundary development process. Abstract T44C-03 presented at 2017 AGU Fall Meeting, New Orleans, LA, 11-15 Dec.

Neely, J.S., Huang, Y., Furlong, K.P. (2017), Variations in earthquake source properties along a developing transform plate boundary. Abstract presented at 2017 SSA Meeting, Denver, CO, 18-20 Apr.

Neely, J.S., Furlong, K.P. (2016), Observations of displacement-driven maturation along a Subduction-Transform Edge Propagator fault. Abstract T33C-3052 presented at 2016 AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, 12-16 Dec.

Neely, J.S., Furlong, K.P. (2015), An examination of seismicity linking the Solomon Islands and Vanuatu subduction zones. Abstract T21D-2850 presented at 2015 AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, 14-18 Dec.