- Research Projects:
- COVID-19 Pandemic Response: The mass vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 is an effective way to mitigate the pandemic. However, as of September 2021, the vast majority of the world’s population remains unvaccinated. This promotes the emergence of variants of concern, like Delta, that may be more transmissible and may break through existing vaccines, suggesting that the course of the pandemic is still tremendously uncertain. Coupling an epidemiological simulation model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission with tools from optimization and simulation, we are developing tools to (i) design robust and time-dynamic interventions to mitigate the risk associated with variants of concerns in partially vaccinated populations, (ii) optimize vaccine prioritization strategies.
- Two-stage Distributionally Robust Optimization: Studying theoretical aspects and solution methodologies of two-stage distributionally robust optimization under Wasserstein distance.
- Technical Report:
- Nazlıcan Arslan, David P. Morton, Janet Pichette, Desmar Walkes, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. Projections for Austin’s COVID-19 Staged Alert System, Incorporating Reported Cases as Additional Indicator. Technical Report, 2021. (link)
- Nazlıcan Arslan, David P. Morton, Desmar Walkes, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. Projections for Variants of Concern under Austin’s COVID-19 Staged-Alert System. Technical Report, 2021. (link)
- Nazlıcan Arslan, Özge Sürer, David P. Morton, Haoxiang Yang, Michael Lachmann, Spencer Woody, Spencer J. Fox, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. COVID-19 alert stages, healthcare projections and mortality patterns in Austin, Texas. Technical Report, 2021. (link)
- Presentation:
- Nazlıcan Arslan, Özge Sürer, David P. Morton, Lauren A. Meyers. Time Dynamic COVID-19 Staged Alert Systems during Vaccine Rollout and Emergence of Variants of Concern. INFORMS Annual Meeting, 2021.
- Nazlıcan Arslan, Özge Sürer, David P. Morton, Lauren A. Meyers. COVID-19 health-care projections and vaccine allocation. INFORMS Healthcare Conference, 2021.
